Sunday 13 May 2007

The Plight of the Undersized Power Forward: Does Size Matter?

To educate those of you reading with limited knowledge of basketball first off, the power forward is one of the 5 standard positions in basketball. Traditionally one of the taller players on the court who plays close to the basket on both ends of the court (aka The 'Low Post' - i don't know why!). In the modern NBA game it would seem with the advent of more versatile big men who can handle the ball well, are quicker and are good outside shooters (Dirk Nowitzki, Chris Bosh, Rasheed Wallace and last years overall No. 1 pick - Andrea Bargnani)the position is developing as one which is more multi faceted and accomodates players of greater variety. WRONG!

The NBA, and seemingly the world has become obsessed with perceived physical limitations. NBA General Managers have become obsessed with height, wing span, vertical leap and so called 'upside' of players, often determined in pre draft work-outs. Now if i was coaching any sport at any level, or deciding upon a team, in picking my team, i would want to choose players which fulfilled the expectations of the role or position they hoped to play. basically, i would want guys who could get the job done, in games, where it mattered. Seemingly conventional NBA wisdom is different, they want the greatest physical gifts in a player and the perceived neccessities needed to play a position.

Take the example of last years draft. Taken at No. 4 overall was physical specimen Tyrus Thomas,(6'10'' with a pterodactyl's wingspan, and seemingly its brain too) having spent two season at LSU, in his sophmore year he helped guide the tigers to a Final Four berth. It was abundantly clear (to me at least) that Thomas' dominance of the college game, if you could call it even that, was as a result of his freakish athleticism and length, because, at the end of the day, not every college level big man, even at the best programmes is gonna be of NBA standard physically. Thomas had an average rookie season with some great highlight dunks here and there but doesnt seem like hes gonna have an immediate impact for the Bulls.

Then we take Paul Millsap, drafted 47th overall, not highly touted out of Louisiana Tech, a good athlete with a decent, polished offensive game, a smart player who plasy within himself - if you're an NBA GM you wanna stay away from this guy, sounds like too safe a pick! Millsap is perceived as undersized, barely measuring in at 6'8''. But here's the catch, the guy led the nation in rebounding for 3 consecutive seasons - why WOULDN'T you want to pick this guy - how many teams complain that they can't rebound the ball? But no, 43 picks later than Thomas and his 'upside' went Paul, to the Utah Jazz and wound up having a better season than Thomas in less playing time and winning an all-rookie first team selection.

People will no doubt tout the Utah GM as a genius now 'oh what a draft day steal etc'
- Grade A bolonium. All that happened was the more productive player won out on the court. If Utah had had the 4th pick they would have made the same mistake as well. To those of you reading who are not basketball fans im sure this attitude will confuse you even more, why would someone choose 2 inches of height, 6 inches of wingspan and 10 inches of vertical jump over the nation's leading frickin rebounder and a fundamentally sound player who is ready to contribute. Coaches frustrate me greatly in that they salivate over potential which they'll never see blossom because they drafted an 'upside' guy instead of a contributor and the pick is labelled a bust! what about the upside of havin the nation's leading rebounder on your bench? 'can he jump 40 inches in pre-draft work outs? no!? good day sir!'

I recently watched a video of Dwight Howard's pre-draft workout with Orlando, who eventually chose him No.1 overall. I don't dispute Howard is a great player, but the video consisted of him dunking uncontested and touching as high as he could on the backboard while coaches watched... a 7 footer that can dunk uncontested? Get outta town, 2 tickets to draft night please! What this really says to me is coaches all too often pick players on the basis of drills instead of games, if i'm a coach i want guys that excel in games, that overcome whatever their perceived shortcomings to be by whatever means, by attitude or technical ability. Surely coaches want results, because results = no get fired. No? No actually, 6'7'' power forward who gets the job done will inevitably lose out to 7 footer who COULD get the job done at a higher level but often most likely wont.

The funny thing is we, and GM's, clearly have fortgotten basic basketball history. Charles Barkely, no doubt one of the top 5 Power Forwards of all time - 6'5'', Anthony Mason, the man who was best equipt to defend Hakeem Olajuwon, often heralded as the greatest PF of all time at his peak, was only 6'7''. I don't suggest Gm's don't make calculated risks, that would be foolish, or else the likes of Don Nelson never would have unearthed Dirk Nowitzki by taking a chance on a 7 footer who only shot 3's. But more make calculated safe bets! Upside or untapped potential means nothing in the immediate, and might not even do so in the future either. At the end of the day, who cares about size if it gets the job done!?

60 comments:

AndrewForce88@gmail.com said...

Love your perspective. Its dead on and probably will not change anytime soon. Its a mixture of arrogance (i can find talent where others cant) and desperation. The GM's who pick in the top 10 inevitably need a homerun. They know the 6'7 powerforwards are doubles hitters with warning track power. They want a game-changer, not a game winner. Its quite a reach, but its made every draft day.

I like your piece.

Andrew Force
Bracketography.com

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